Monroe Central
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #164
New Haven Regional Rank #33
Delta Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.4%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Arabian Roundup Wapahani Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational
Date 8/28 8/31 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 1,290 1,253
Team Adjusted Rating 1,240 1,390 1,253 1,343
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Arabian Roundup Wapahani Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational
874  Lane Dance 12 18:28 18:24 18:09 18:14 18:48 18:48
1,236  Jedidiah Ferguson 9 19:00 19:09 18:57 18:54
Alexander Coe 9 19:14 18:47 19:38 19:14 19:13
Jackson Wines 10 19:31 18:39 19:30 19:58 19:25 19:31
Zadok Lloyd 10 19:59 18:50 20:35 19:21 20:25
Stephen Stockwell 10 20:55 20:48 20:56 20:52 20:59
Cory Brown 10 20:56 19:56 21:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.4% 22.4 540 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
Sectionals 100% 8.4 193 0.1 0.3 1.2 8.6 39.0 45.9 4.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane Dance 100.0% 114.8 100.0% 84.1%
Jedidiah Ferguson 66.0% 160.5 9.2% 3.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane Dance 20.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 3.9 4.7 5.4 6.0 6.2 6.8 7.2 7.7 6.9 7.2 6.9 6.5
Jedidiah Ferguson 32.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.0